Carlisle United vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 1
MKD
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OPA
1 - 1
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
SCU
3 - 1
CUM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 1
STE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CUM
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
WAL
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
WAL
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 1
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |