Carlisle United vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 0
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
OLD
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
CUM
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 0
HUR
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
WAL
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
6 - 1
BRO
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 1
OLD
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 1
WAL
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
HUR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |