Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CUM
3 - 2
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 1
CUM
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 1
CRE
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 0
CUM
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 1
CRA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
POS
5 - 0
TRA
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 1
COL
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 0
TRA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COV
1 - 5
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
TRA
1 - 1
BRI
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |