Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
SWA
0 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
66%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
CUM
3 - 2
SCU
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
HER
2 - 3
CUM
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CUM
1 - 0
DAR
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1997 |
TRA
2 - 1
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1997 |
WBA
1 - 2
TRA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
TRA
1 - 1
HUR
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
TRA
0 - 2
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
TRA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |