Carlisle United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 0
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 0
STF
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
4 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
SHE
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 2
SWI
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
PNE
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
SWI
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 4
WOL
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |