Carlisle United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 1
CRE
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
6 - 0
TIP
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
2 - 0
TRA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRO
1 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 4
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 0
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
4 - 0
DAG
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 3
SOU
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
OLD
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HUR
2 - 0
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |