Carlisle United vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 2
TAM
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
1 - 1
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 1
CUM
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 1
CRE
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SHW
3 - 2
NOR
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SHW
3 - 0
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MKD
1 - 4
SHW
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SHW
2 - 0
ROC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SHW
4 - 1
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |