Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 1
SAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
3 - 3
HAR
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
CUM
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 4
EXE
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 0
SCU
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 0
TRA
21%
26%
54%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
SCU
0 - 3
MCI
21%
20%
59%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
SUT
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |