EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-3
Carlisle United vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
CUM
3 - 1
ROT
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
ROT
1 - 0
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
CUM
2 - 0
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
CUM
2 - 1
STF
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
PNE
0 - 3
CUM
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
EVE
2 - 2
QPR
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
QPR
2 - 2
COV
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
LEI
1 - 1
QPR
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
QPR
1 - 2
IPS
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
QPR
3 - 2
SHW
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |