Carlisle United vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 1
CUM
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CUM
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 4
CUM
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 3
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
KEN
1 - 5
CUM
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
POR
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SHW
3 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BIR
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
WOL
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |