Carlisle United vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
WYC
1 - 1
CUM
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 2
EXE
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 1
CUM
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
CUM
6 - 0
YOR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
POS
0 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
POS
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
POS
0 - 3
MKD
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BOU
0 - 1
POS
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
POS
0 - 2
WAL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |