Carlisle United vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
GUL
3 - 4
CUM
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 0
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CUM
6 - 0
STO
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 0
CUM
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
OXF
3 - 0
EAS
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
OXF
0 - 3
WRE
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 1
OXF
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
LEY
1 - 0
OXF
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
OXF
0 - 0
BOS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |