Carlisle United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
2 - 3
FLE
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
CUM
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 2
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 2
TRA
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MKD
3 - 0
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 4
NOT
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
FLE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |