Carlisle United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 2
CUM
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 2
CRA
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 3
TOT
14%
23%
63%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
COV
1 - 2
CUM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
CRE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 1
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
STE
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 0
OPA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 1
NOT
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |