Carlisle United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 2
YEO
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DAG
3 - 0
CUM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 1
LEY
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 3
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
BHA
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MKD
2 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 1
NOT
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |