Carlisle United vs Nottingham Forest U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 2
TRA
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MKD
3 - 0
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 2
STO
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GIL
4 - 1
CUM
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
NOT
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
NOT
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 0
WOL
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 3
NOT
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 1
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |