Carlisle United vs Nottingham Forest Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 3
CUM
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CUM
1 - 1
POS
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WYC
2 - 0
CUM
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CUM
0 - 2
DER
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
CUM
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NWC
1 - 1
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
4 - 3
CRY
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
TOW
2 - 1
NOT
61%
19%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BHA
1 - 0
NOT
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 0
ARS
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |