Carlisle United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 0
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 1
BPO
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 4
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 0
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 0
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SCU
3 - 0
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
NOR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
NOR
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |