Carlisle United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
CUM
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YOR
0 - 0
CUM
46%
28%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 3
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 0
CHE
57%
22%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
CUM
55%
26%
20%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 4
STF
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
HAR
62%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LUT
2 - 3
MOR
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
OXF
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAM
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |