Carlisle United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 0
CUM
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEY
1 - 2
CUM
50%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 1
BOU
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 0
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BCF
0 - 2
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 3
BRE
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 0
STE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 4
MKD
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
6 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
MKD
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |