Carlisle United vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
MAC
2 - 2
BOS
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 0
BCF
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ROC
3 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
NTT
2 - 3
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |