Carlisle United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 3
CAM
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PLY
2 - 0
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
CUM
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CUM
0 - 3
OPA
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WYC
1 - 2
CUM
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LUT
0 - 2
STE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
YEO
0 - 4
LUT
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
LUT
2 - 3
OXF
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LUT
1 - 1
PLY
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DON
1 - 1
LUT
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |