Carlisle United vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
WAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 2
TOW
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXE
2 - 1
CUM
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 3
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DON
0 - 0
LIN
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOW
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
STF
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |