Carlisle United vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 3
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 2
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
2 - 1
POS
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 1
LEY
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
0 - 2
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
LEY
2 - 0
PLY
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |