Carlisle United vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
YEO
2 - 1
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 0
DON
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
CUM
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 2
CUM
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LEY
3 - 2
BOU
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
LEY
2 - 0
MIL
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
LEY
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
OXF
2 - 3
LEY
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LEY
2 - 1
POS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |