EFL Trophy Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Carlisle United vs Huddersfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 0
BRO
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 0
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 1
CUM
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
HUR
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CUM
0 - 2
DAG
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Huddersfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
HUR
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
HUR
3 - 2
PLY
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 0
DOV
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
HUR
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |