Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STE
1 - 0
CUM
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 0
PLY
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
CUM
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 0
DAG
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
STA
3 - 1
CUM
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 1
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LUT
3 - 0
HAR
68%
19%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
STA
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
YOR
1 - 0
HAR
47%
28%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |