Carlisle United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STF
2 - 1
CUM
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 3
SHE
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 3
BOU
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
YEO
1 - 3
CUM
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 3
DON
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
HAR
81%
14%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 2
STE
18%
26%
57%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 1
HAR
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
OLD
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 5
COV
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |