Carlisle United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 2
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
2 - 3
FLE
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
CUM
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 2
NOT
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 2
TRA
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 0
BRO
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
GRI
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 1
BRA
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 5
SHW
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |