Carlisle United vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
CUM
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
CUM
3 - 0
MKD
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CUM
2 - 4
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LEY
4 - 0
CUM
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 1
CUM
79%
16%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
STE
3 - 1
GIL
41%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GIL
3 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
GIL
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 0
SWI
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
GIL
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |