Carlisle United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1975 |
BIR
2 - 0
CUM
75%
16%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
STO
5 - 2
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUM
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
CUM
1 - 2
LUT
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
CUM
0 - 1
FUL
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 1
IPS
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
LEE
0 - 0
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
EVE
2 - 1
QPR
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
0 - 2
EVE
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |