Carlisle United vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 4
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
3 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
CUM
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CUM
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 4
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 1
EBB
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
ALF
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
EBB
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EBB
1 - 1
KID
33%
24%
42%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STO
3 - 1
EBB
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |