Carlisle United vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 0
CUM
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
CUM
3 - 0
TRA
37%
24%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 3
FLE
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 4
CUM
8%
15%
78%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 2
OPA
11%
17%
73%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 1
CRA
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
BHA
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CRA
2 - 3
SWA
10%
17%
73%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 1
TRA
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |