Carlisle United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 1
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
IPS
3 - 1
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 2
LEE
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
QPR
2 - 1
CUM
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
CUM
0 - 1
WHU
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
CHL
2 - 0
LUT
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
NEW
5 - 0
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1974 |
CHL
3 - 3
COV
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 0
LEI
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |