Carlisle United vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
2 - 1
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
YEO
3 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
4 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 2
CUM
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 1
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
HUR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
OLD
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
4 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LEE
0 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |