Carlisle United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 2
CUM
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 1
DAR
56%
24%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
TRA
0 - 0
CUM
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 1
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
POS
4 - 1
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
BCF
1 - 2
GRI
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BCF
2 - 1
WYC
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
LEY
0 - 1
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
BCF
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |