Carlisle United vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PLY
1 - 0
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CUM
3 - 0
STE
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 1
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 3
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 3
DON
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
CAM
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |