Carlisle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
CUM
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
NTT
0 - 0
CUM
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
CUM
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CUM
1 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 2
BHA
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BHA
4 - 1
LEY
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
BHA
2 - 2
BOU
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 1
BHA
51%
28%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
BHA
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |