Carlisle United vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CUM
0 - 3
NEW
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 2
CUM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CUM
1 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
3 - 2
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CUM
1 - 2
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
WYC
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 5
FUL
20%
27%
54%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 0
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SWI
3 - 2
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
YEO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |