Carlisle United vs Blackpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 4
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 0
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 4
WOL
67%
17%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
CUM
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Blackpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BPO
1 - 2
ROT
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 0
BPO
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BPO
2 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
BPO
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
DON
0 - 1
BPO
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |