Carlisle United vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 0
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 0
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
3 - 0
CUM
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 0
CUM
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 3
FLE
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAR
40%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
STE
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BPO
0 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DER
0 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |