Carlisle United vs Aston Villa U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 2
CHE
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
CUM
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EXE
1 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
FLE
3 - 0
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SUN
8 - 1
AVI
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
AVI
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 0
AVI
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
AVI
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |