Carlisle United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
IPS
3 - 1
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 2
LEE
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
QPR
2 - 1
CUM
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
CUM
0 - 1
WHU
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
SHE
2 - 1
CUM
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1974 |
COV
3 - 0
ARS
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
43%
29%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
ARS
0 - 0
WOL
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |