Carl Zeiss Jena U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
8º
8º
6
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
6 | 25 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 24 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 23 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 22 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 19 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 15 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 14 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 13 |
8º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CZJ
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
HAL
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CZJ
3 - 2
FCM
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
UBE
19%
20%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +5 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
1 - 1
HAN
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 2
RWE
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |