Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 4
GER
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
WAG
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 3
DYN
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ERZ
4 - 1
LUC
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 2
LOK
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
LUC
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |