Carl Zeiss Jena II vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
ZWI
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
LOK
4 - 3
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
AUE
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
POS
2 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
POS
1 - 1
BUD
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 3
GER
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
AUE
0 - 0
BUD
69%
19%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ZWI
0 - 0
BUD
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |