Cariri vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 1
TIR
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 2
CFS
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
3 - 0
PAC
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 2
HOR
14%
18%
69%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
CFS
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 2
HOR
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 1
IGU
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 3
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 2
HOR
14%
18%
69%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |