Cariri vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 0
TIR
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
GPM
4 - 2
CFS
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
CFS
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CFS
0 - 2
HOR
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 1
TIR
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLO
23%
26%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
ITA
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
68%
21%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
CAM
31%
28%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |