Cariñena Atl. vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariñena Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATC
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
CDU
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
CAR
34%
22%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
6 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
DEL
32%
25%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 2
MOR
31%
25%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ATC
1 - 0
CDM
55%
24%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 0
CEL
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDU
2 - 0
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |