Cariari Pococí vs Antioquia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
14º
9º
11
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 39 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 33 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 30 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 29 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 28 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 26 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 26 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 25 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 23 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 18 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 9 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 5 |
18º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
EBC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAC
0 - 1
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASE
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
CSU
3 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Antioquia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
EBC
3 - 1
ANT
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
JAC
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASE
1 - 0
ANT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 0
CSU
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +4 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
ANT
45%
21%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |